Sunday, December 20, 2009

Fake Topps Reserve Autograph Listed




Here is the auction in question. Someone must have gotten hold of a blank card stock, signed Pujols's name, and then added an authentication sticker from another Topps autograph. It is clear this signature is not authentic. The seller attempts to cover himself by saying he is not an autograph expert. Obviously, he knows it is fake. My best guess would be this is a big time seller using a new account to dump this.

Friday, December 11, 2009

2001 Donruss Studio Masterstrokes Prime





I was thrilled to acquire this card. Pujols only has 100 2001 issued patch cards. There are 25 on this card and 75 on the Studio Diamond Cut Collection card (actually two cards, 25 are autographed 50 are not). Needless to say this is an awesome card. The two other copies I have seen feature much smaller patches. For around 60% of a Bowman Chrome auto, this is a heck of a deal. The trouble is finding one.


Sunday, December 6, 2009

2001 Ultimate Collection



The 2001 Ultimate Collection set is beautiful. When it was released, it featured three of the year's top cards in the Mark Prior, Mark Teixeira, and Ichiro autographed rookies. Each card is #'d /250 and signed on card. With Prior's injury, his fell by the wayside. Despite Teixeira's outstanding play, his hovers around the $200 mark. The Ichiro, however, has soared. Many of the copies are locked in personal collections, so when a nice one (many have a faded autograph) shows up on eBay, they usually close for over $1,500.

Albert did not have an autographed card for some reason. His base card is still #'d /250 and features the exact same design. Despite being unsigned, it is the second most valuable card in the set going for $250-300. As with all cards in this set (autographs included), chipping is a problem. Expect to pay a high premium for a good looking copy. The BGS population report lists only 4 9.5 "Gem Mints" out of 27 copies graded (15%).

I'm hoping to get this signed by Albert. I purchased a lot of base Ultimate cards to try to test various kinds of pens on them. What if UD had made this an autographed card rather than an unsigned base card? How much would it go for today? Ichiro's card commands the high price because it is one of his only signed RCs (SPx). I think the BC would still be the best RC, but if this were signed, it would probably be his second best card. I think it would sell for around $1,300.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

2001 Fleer Legacy In Depth Report

I have been tracking all versions of Albert's 2001 Fleer Legacy card for about one year. As explained in this post, there is quite a deal of controversy surrounding this card. To summarize: unsigned copies of the card featuring the "authentic autograph" stamping were sold at Fleer's bankruptcy auction. These cards were forged and have been sold on eBay. Luckily, most collectors have gotten wind of this and the fake versions sell for about half as much as the authentic versions. As a refresher, below is a copy of an authentic version (top) and a fake version (bottom).




The authentic versions have a compact signature in the middle, lower portion of the card while the fakes contain a large, looping signature closer to the middle of the card.

Here is the data I have gathered regarding this card. To date I have tracked 129 (actually 126, 3 have popped up with the same serial number as both unsigned and non authentic signed) different copies of this card. Here is the summary:

Non Signed: 16
Signed: 113
Authentic Signed: 17, 15% of signed
Non Authentic Signed: 96, 85% of signed

This only represents 16% of the 799 print run, but it's clear the authentic signed versions of this card are very scare. Currently the unsigned version goes for about $125. Projecting my findings out to the whole print run, it appears that the unsigned version is just as scarce as the authentic signed version. (Here is my tracking sheet)

Another interesting issue surrounding this card is Beckett Media's coverage of the controversy. In the past year, I've browsed through a Beckett Baseball at the bookstore on two occasions. Both times I was shocked to see this:




If Beckett truly wants to be "Leading Source of Hobby Information", this is unacceptable. Either Beckett does not know about the controversy or Beckett is not doing its duty by providing its readership with accurate information. To the best of my knowledge, Beckett has never acknowledged this problem anywhere. For any card, let alone a card that is usually on its hot list, shouldn't it report on this? Even worse, perhaps the reason it has not reported on this card is because it does not know about it. To me, this is just another reason why Beckett is becoming less and less relevant in this hobby.

Edit
1. As Topnotchsy (excellent guide here) points out, it is misleading to suggest the unsigned version is just as rare as the signed version. There are suppose to be 499 unsigned versions and 300 authentic versions. Obviously, the authentic versions are much less, but there is nothing to suggest the unsigned copies are anything less than 499.

2. Further clarification on the authentic signed vs unsigned scarcity- most of the authentic signed versions I've tracked are in personal collections and will most likely not come up for sale, whereas almost all the unsigned versions tracked were on eBay. If you are in the market for an authentic signed version, you should probably jump at the first one you see.

Monday, November 30, 2009

2001 Bowman Chrome 5/500

There are certain members of the hobby that will do anything to make an extra buck on a card. In the old days, dealers could use Sharpies to touch up the borders on their black-bordered cards. Today, trimming is one of the worst problems with the hobby. There are certain cards that no educated consumer should ever buy raw (Pujols SPx, ARod SP, etc). Some sneakier dealers have taken to rubbing off signatures or serial numbers and redoing them to their liking (There are rumors that many Pujols SPx autographs have been subject to this). Serial numbers are another issue. Luckily most are machine stamped, but hand numbered cards present a problem. Unfortunately, Pujols's 2001 BC autograph has hand serial numbering. On the old Beckett boards, Colorado Rockies Fan (first name: John) had an extensive listing of all Pujols BC copies he had seen on eBay. He listed the certification number, grade, and serial number. It was very complete. No one knows where he is today and I unfortunately deleted the file at some point over the years. Someone on the PSA boards saved the portion dealing with the 5/500 copies:

5/500 Topps sticker #3040260 PSA 9 PSA serial #40002731
5/500 Topps sticker #3040227 BGS 8
005/500 Topps sticker #3040244 BGS 9.5
005/500 Topps sticker #3040359 PSA 9 O/C serial #30119083

As you can see there are multiple copies. There is no way to tell which is real. This one is currently listed on eBay.

Thursday, November 26, 2009

2001 Donruss Elite Status

Like the 2001 Fleer Legacy cards, a large amount of these were backdoored. The backdoored versions DO NOT have serial numbering. The authentic versions have serial numbering to 68 on the face of the card. These rarely show up for sale, so it is hard to pinpoint a value. Over the summer, a Red Aspirations from the same set was sold. The Aspirations has a print run of 32. The 6/32 copy was sold in BGS 9 form on August 5th, 2009 for $721.43. Based on this, I think anywhere from $400-450 would be market value for an authentic status.


This auction is currently listed on eBay. Not only is this an authentic status card, it is also Albert's jersey number (5/68), and autographed. This is a beautiful and unique card. What is it worth though?

The best indicator would be the Turn of the Century autograph from the same set. The most recent copy of these sold for $750 in October 2009. However, there are 100 of the TOC autographs. I think $1,000 would be reasonable for this card. Most of that premium comes from the 5/ serial numbering. While it's nice that Albert has signed the card, I like the look of the TOC much more.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Albert Wins Third MVP Award

Albert won his third career MVP award today. He took 32/32 first place votes. Bernie Miklasz has a nice write up of what this does for Albert's legacy.

Albert Pujols Clinches HOF Today

I will start posting more regularly. I realize I have posted mostly pickups the past couple months. I will try to post more about general Pujols collectibles.