Saturday, May 15, 2010

Pujols RC Autograph Buying Guide

This post is inspired by a PM I received from FCB member CAROLINA BOSOX who asked for advice on buying a Pujols RC Auto with a budget of $400-600. This range encompasses most of Pujols's 2001 Autos. Obviously the Bowman Chrome and some of the more limited DLP stuff is much more expensive, but there are plenty of solid options out there on this budget. Here's a look at the cards you could get in this range with some advice on what to look for and which may be good buys.


1. SPx /1500- This is a pretty solid card and falls towards the lower end of the price range, but there are a lot of potential problems with it. First, the SPx is one of the most trimmed cards in the industry. For this reason, I would never buy a raw copy. While that doesn't necessarily prevent you from getting a trimmed card (some do get past PSA/BGS), it's much better to have something slabbed than get a raw copy turned down. Due to the trimming issue, I'd also pay a premium for a card in the old BGS label (subgrades on back). The second problem with this card is the autograph. The stock/pen combo is terrible and most of the autographs are bubbly. This has led to some sellers tracing over or erasing the original auto and replacing it with a more solid signature. Here is a copy of the card I have owned, note the signature quality:
Now compare it to this one:
The SPx is really nice because it is an on card signature. The drawbacks are the high print run, trimming, and bad/altered autograph. BGS 8.5-9 copies can be had for $475-575. I would only buy a graded one, but I would look to some other options first.

2. Donruss Signature Series /330- I covered this card in the blog's first ever post available here. I maintain this is an extremely underrated card. There are only 330 made! That's almost 20% of the SPx print run and about 60% of the Bowman Chrome print run. The problem with this card is the foil borders are very prone to damage. That said, expect to pay a premium for anything graded BGS 8.5 or higher. A raw copy could be had for around $400, while graded copies would be closer to $600.

3. Fleer Legacy /300- In my opinion, this is the nicest Pujols RC auto. Due to the Fleer Bankruptcy, unsigned copies of this card got into the wrong hands and 90% of these are counterfeits. What makes matters worse is that some eBay sellers are now selling what appears to be an authentic copy but is actually just a photocopy. Some of the photocopied cards are even in PSA holders so EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION when purchasing this card. I actually fell for one of these scams, but I was able to get my money back. Here is my guide to identify counterfeits. I also have a database with each serial number and whether or not it contains an authentic autograph. I will be updating this soon, but here is the original post from December.

4. eTopps /32- This could be considered a buyback because the card was offered on eTopps in 2005. I consider it a rookie because it is a signed 2001 card. It is a very attractive card and is signed on card. The last copy traded for $800 but there are several listed as BIN/Best Offer on eBay as I write this. You may be able to sneak this in for $600, but I think $700 is more realistic. For those unfamiliar with the eTopps autograph program, each card is one of the originally issued eTopps cards signed by the athlete at a later date. eTopps offers the autographs at an IPO to users with the card to be signed in their portfolio. The Pujols was IPOed for $199 and traded on the secondary market for up to $1,500 post allocation. I have never seen forgeries of this card, but it wouldn't surprise me. Luckily eTopps has a registry where you can check the COA number.

5. Donruss Class of 2001 /100, Donruss Classics AU- Two more underrated DLP cards. I am a big fan of the DLP base RCs with the sticker autos slapped on them. The back of the Class of 2001 will show numbering /625 (the complete run of the base RC), but only the first 100 copies are the signed parallel. Expect to pay $500-550. The Classics is unnumbered but follows the same formula as the Class of 2001. Expect to pay $400-550. Both are somewhat condition sensitive, particularly around the edges. The Classics is more sensitive.

6. Topps Reserve Uncirculated /555- This is the cheapest option. These cards will go as cheap as $275 and won't cost more than $350. It's not a very attractive card at all. Basically, it's a PSA graded Topps Reserve card and instead of the regular PSA slip at the top of the holder, there is a piece of paper signed by Albert. This was actually my first Pujols AU RC, but I have since upgraded to the much nicer Reserve Rookie Autograph. I'm fairly certain that 554 of the cards were graded PSA 8 and 1 was graded PSA 9.

7. Topps Finest, Bowman, SP Authentic Chirography- I'll group these three together as well. The Finest will compete with the Topps Reserve for the cheapest option as most go for around $300. It's an awful card though because the pens used were terrible and most of the signatures have faded. As with the SPx, this has led many sellers to trace or redo the signature so be very skeptical of any card with a nice signature. I would NEVER buy this card. The Bowman and SP Authentic run slightly higher and are very gradeable. I am not a particularly big fan of either. Both are on card and the SP Authentic has a large space for Albert's signature. Expect to pay $400-500 for raw copies with graded increasing from there.

I hope that's a nice rundown. It gets a little more complicated at the higher price points, but there are certainly options available for those with a decent budget. I would rank the top three as Fleer Legacy, Donruss Signature Series, and Class of 2001/Classics.


Sunday, April 11, 2010

Incredible Sale

On the eve of Albert's second multi-homer game of the year, there was a huge sale on eBay.

2001 Bowman Chrome 141/500, Raw condition $7,000 4/11/2010

The seller has only 68 (100% +) feedback and doesn't have any previous card sales in the 90 day history.

Here's the description:

"You are bidding on one the hottest cards out there. This autographed card of Albert Pujols is numbered 141/500. Albert Pujols is one of the greatest baseball players to ever play the game and this is his best card!

As you can tell in the picture, this card has perfect centering and razor sharp corners. I have taken very good care of this card. It should grade out very good! Insurance is including in the shipping and handling.

Good luck with the auction!"

While there could be some shenanigans going on, the bid history looks relatively legitimate. I believe this is a substantial new all time high for a raw copy. Even in spring 2006 they only reached about $4,000. This is an exclamation point on a gradual uptick in this card's price. For the second straight year, these have dipped significantly over the off season only to rebound as soon as the season starts. Could it be related to concerns about Albert's elbow? He has had a procedure done each of the past two offseasons. Whatever the reason, if you are in the market for one of these, it's probably best to buy during the offseason.


Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Signed, Authenticated Pujols RCs

Sorry for the lack of posts in January. I had acquired Pujols's 2001 Studio and 2001 Ultimate Collection RCs to get signed at the Winter Warm Up over MLK Weekend. Albert would sign for $175. Unfortunately he sold out and I did not win the ticket lottery. eBay seller invest.in.legends had a similar idea. He got Albert to sign three RCs and submitted them to BGS/JSA (the seller did not acquire these at the Warmup). Now that the auctions have closed, would this be a profitable idea? I'll use $175 as the cost of obtaining Albert's signature and $20 as the cost of JSA authentication (not including shipping).

2001 Topps Reserve $306

This is probably the best looking of the three. For some reason, Albert did not insrcibe this with the +5(cross) like he did on the other cards. This also looks a lot like pack inserted retail rookie autograph. This card closes anywhere from $100-150, so if you were to do this, you would most likely break even.

2001 Bowman Heritage $290

Again, this is a great looking card. I was hoping to pick this up for around $200. I was really surprised at how high each went. Since this card costs about $30 to acquire, it is undoubtedly the most profitable out of these three.

2001 Topps Traded Gold $286.99

This was most interesting to me. This was the most valuable card (sells for $120-140 with more consistency than the Reserve) and the dark background doesn't lend itself very well to the signature. It looks like other bidders agreed with me as it closed for the least out of the three.

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Complete Run of Pujols National or Fanfest Promos

I finally completed the complete set of all Pujols National or Fanfest promotional cards. Here they are:
2001 Bowman Heritage National (Limited to 500, distributed in sealed packs)

2005 Donruss Fanfest (Open 5 Packs of DLP Product)

2006 Topps Fanfest (Open 5 Packs of Topps Product on Sunday)

2006 Upper Deck Fanfest (Open 5 UD Packs on Friday, Sunday, or Tuesday)

2006 Upper Deck National (#'d /500)

2007 Upper Deck Fanfest (Open 5 UD Packs on Friday, Sunday, or Tuesday)

2009 Topps Fanfest (3 Packs of Topps Product any day)

2009 Upper Deck Fanfest (3 Packs of UD Product on Friday)

2009 Topps Fanfest Patch (Must purchase factory set)

2009 Topps ASG Factory Set Bonus (Purchase Set for $50)

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Fake Topps Reserve Autograph Listed




Here is the auction in question. Someone must have gotten hold of a blank card stock, signed Pujols's name, and then added an authentication sticker from another Topps autograph. It is clear this signature is not authentic. The seller attempts to cover himself by saying he is not an autograph expert. Obviously, he knows it is fake. My best guess would be this is a big time seller using a new account to dump this.

Friday, December 11, 2009

2001 Donruss Studio Masterstrokes Prime





I was thrilled to acquire this card. Pujols only has 100 2001 issued patch cards. There are 25 on this card and 75 on the Studio Diamond Cut Collection card (actually two cards, 25 are autographed 50 are not). Needless to say this is an awesome card. The two other copies I have seen feature much smaller patches. For around 60% of a Bowman Chrome auto, this is a heck of a deal. The trouble is finding one.


Sunday, December 6, 2009

2001 Ultimate Collection



The 2001 Ultimate Collection set is beautiful. When it was released, it featured three of the year's top cards in the Mark Prior, Mark Teixeira, and Ichiro autographed rookies. Each card is #'d /250 and signed on card. With Prior's injury, his fell by the wayside. Despite Teixeira's outstanding play, his hovers around the $200 mark. The Ichiro, however, has soared. Many of the copies are locked in personal collections, so when a nice one (many have a faded autograph) shows up on eBay, they usually close for over $1,500.

Albert did not have an autographed card for some reason. His base card is still #'d /250 and features the exact same design. Despite being unsigned, it is the second most valuable card in the set going for $250-300. As with all cards in this set (autographs included), chipping is a problem. Expect to pay a high premium for a good looking copy. The BGS population report lists only 4 9.5 "Gem Mints" out of 27 copies graded (15%).

I'm hoping to get this signed by Albert. I purchased a lot of base Ultimate cards to try to test various kinds of pens on them. What if UD had made this an autographed card rather than an unsigned base card? How much would it go for today? Ichiro's card commands the high price because it is one of his only signed RCs (SPx). I think the BC would still be the best RC, but if this were signed, it would probably be his second best card. I think it would sell for around $1,300.